Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

2025 Oscars Predictions: All Categories

Weekly Commentary (Updated Oct. 3, 2024): The buzz from the Venice, Telluride, and Toronto film festivals is beginning to shape the landscape for this year’s awards season, offering early indicators of which films may dominate the race.

Looking ahead, several highly anticipated films have yet to be reviewed, adding further intrigue to the Oscar race. Steve McQueen’s World War II drama “Blitz” and James Mangold’s Bob Dylan biopic “A Complete Unknown” are expected to splash onto the scene. Additionally, Ridley Scott’s “Gladiator II” has generated serious buzz, while Jon M. Chu’s ” Wicked ” musical adaptation could be a significant player. Robert Zemeckis’ “Here,” a visually ambitious drama from Sony Pictures, also has the potential to break into technical categories.

Meanwhile, the New York Film Festival (NYFF) is set to kick off with its 62nd edition, further contributing to awards season chatter. RaMell Ross’ “Nickel Boys” will open the festival, aiming to regain momentum after a mixed reception at Telluride. “Blitz” and “The Room Next Door” will also make their stateside debuts, seeking to build on the promise they’ve already shown at international festivals.

With so many films vying for attention and the race still in its early stages, this year’s awards season promises to be one of the most exciting and unpredictable in recent memory.

This week’s updates include “Emilia Pérez,” which still holds the top spot in best picture, and three other categories. It’s also projected to be the most nominated movie with 11. Closing the gap behind is “Gladiator II,” which holds the top spot in director, supporting actor, cinematography, film editing, sound, and visual effects. We’ll see if it can live up to the promise.

Read: You can see all Academy Award predictions in all 23 categories on one page on the Variety Awards Circuit: Oscars.

Top 4 projected nomination leaders (films): “Gladiator II” (11); “Emilia Pérez” (10); “Dune: Part Two” (9); “Blitz” (8)

Top 4 projected nomination leaders (studios): Netflix (18); Warner Bros. (11); Paramount Pictures and Sony Pictures Classics (10); A24 and Neon (7)

The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2. All movie listings, titles, distributors, and credited artisans are not final and are subject to change.

*** = PREDICTED WINNER
(All predicted nominees listed below are in alphabetical order)

• Best Picture

  

  “Anora” (Neon)
  “Blitz” (Apple Original Films) 
  “The Brutalist” (A24)
  “A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
  “Conclave” (Focus Features)
  “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
  “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) ***
  “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
  “The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>

• Director

  

  Jacques Audiard
  “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
  Sean Baker
  “Anora” (Neon)
  Brady Corbet
  “The Brutalist” (A24)
  Walter Salles
  “I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  Ridley Scott ***
  “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>

• Actor

  

  Adrien Brody
  “The Brutalist” (A24)
  Timothée Chalamet
  “A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
  Colman Domingo
  “Sing Sing” (A24) 
  Ralph Fiennes ***
  “Conclave” (Focus Features) 
  Paul Mescal
  “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>

• Actress

  

  Angelina Jolie ***
  “Maria” (Netflix)
  Karla Sofía Gascón
  “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
  Mikey Madison
  “Anora” (Neon)
  Tilda Swinton
  “The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  Fernanda Torres
  “I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics)

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>

• Supporting Actor

  

  Kieran Culkin
  “A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)
  Clarence Maclin
  “Sing Sing” (A24)
  Stanley Tucci
  “Conclave” (Focus Features) 
  John Turturro
  “The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  Denzel Washington ***
  “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>

• Supporting Actress

  

  Danielle Deadwyler
  “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix) 
  Selena Gomez
  “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
  Saoirse Ronan
  “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
  Isabella Rossellini
  “Conclave” (Focus Features)
  Zoe Saldaña ***
  “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>

• Original Screenplay

  

  “Anora” (Neon) ***
  Sean Baker
  “The Brutalist” (A24)
  Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold
  “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
  Gil Kenan, Jason Reitman
  “The Seed of a Sacred Fig” (Neon)
  Mohammad Rasoulof
  “September 5” (Paramount Pictures)
  Moritz Binder, Alex David, Tim Fehlbaum

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>

• Adapted Screenplay

  

  “Conclave” (Focus Features)
  Peter Straughan
  “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) ***
  Jacques Audiard
  “I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  Murilo Hauser, Heitor Lorega
  “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
  Virgil Williams, Malcolm Washington
  “The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
  Pedro Almodóvar

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>

• Animated Feature

  

  “Flow” (Janus Films/Sideshow)
  Gints Zilbalodis, Matīss Kaža, Ron Dyens, Gregory Zalcman
  “Inside Out 2” (Pixar) 
  Kelsey Mann, Mark Nielsen
  “Memoir of a Snail” (IFC Films)
  Adam Elliot, Liz Kearney
  “Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl” (Netflix)
  Nick Park, Merlin Crossingham
  “The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation) ***
  Chris Sanders, Jeff Hermann

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>

• Production Design

  

  “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
  Adam Stockhausen, Anna Pinnock 
  “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ***
  Patrice Vermette, Zsuzsanna Sipos 
  “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
  Emmanuelle Duplay, Sandra Castello
  “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
  Arthur Max, Elli Griff 
  “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
  Jess Gonchor, Claudia Bonfe

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

• Cinematography

  

  “Conclave” (Focus Features)
  Stéphane Fontaine
  “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
  Greig Fraser
  “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) ***
  John Mathieson
  “Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
  Jarin Blaschke
  “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
  Eric Steelberg

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>

• Costume Design

  

  “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
  Jacqueline Durran
  “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ***
  Jacqueline West 
  “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
  Janty Yates
  “Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
  Linda Muir
  “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
  Paul Tazewell

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

• Film Editing

  

  “Anora” (Neon)
  Sean Baker
  “The Brutalist” (A24)
  Dávid Jancsó
  “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
  Joe Walker
  “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
  Juliette Welfling
  “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) ***
  Sam Restivo, Claire Simpson

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>

• Makeup and Hairstyling

  

  
  “The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment)
  “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ***
  “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
  “The Substance” (Mubi)
  “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

• Sound

  

  “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
  “A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
  “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
  “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) ***
  “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

• Visual Effects

  

  “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
  “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) 
  “Here” (Sony Pictures)
  “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) ***
  “Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” (20th Century Studios) 

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

• Original Score

  

  “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
  Hans Zimmer
  “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
  Harry Gregson-Williams
  “The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics) ***
  Alberto Iglesias
  “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
  Jon Batiste
  “The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
  Kris Bowers 

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>

• Original Song

  

  “Song title to be announced” from “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
  “El Mal” from “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
  “Mi Camino” from “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) ***
  “The Journey” from “The Six Triple Eight” (Netflix) 
  “Kiss the Sky” from “The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

• Documentary Feature

  

  “Dahomey” (Mubi)
  dir. Mati Diop
  “Daughters” (Netflix) ***
  dir. Angela Patton, Natalie Rae 
  “Sugarcane” (National Geographic Documentary Films)
  dir. Julian Brave NoiseCat, Emily Kassie 
  “Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story”  (Warner Bros.)
  dirs. Ian Bonhôte, Peter Ettedgui 
  “Will & Harper” (Netflix)
  dir. Josh Greenbaum 

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

• International Feature

  

  “Emilia Pérez” from France (Netflix) ***
  dir. Jacques Audiard
  “The Girl with the Needle” from Denmark (Mubi)
  dir. Magnus von Horn
  “I’m Still Here” from Brazil (Sony Pictures Classics)
  dir. Walter Salles
  “Kneecap” from Ireland (Sony Pictures Classics)
  dir. Rich Peppiatt
  “The Seed of a Sacred Fig” from Germany (Neon)
  dir. Mohammad Rasoulof

  Oscar category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!

Read More About:

• Angelina Jolie,
• Daniel Craig,
• Film Predictions,
• Oscars

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